Beal_Wall_wizards1

Over the past 10 NBA Drafts (2006-2015), the Washington Wizards have made 18 selections, yielding just one All-Star in John Wall.

The following table details the Wizards’ track record by tiers, noting the number of All-Stars and starters selected, along with players who either never made the league or were out in five years or less:

Tier Picks All-Star All-Star Appearances Starter* Not in NBA
1-5 3 1 (33.3%) 3 2 (66.7%) 0
6-10 1 0 0 0 1 (100%)
11-15 1 0 0 0 0
16-20 5 0 0 0 2 (40%)
21-25 1 0 0 0 0
26-30 0 0 0 0 0
31-40 3 0 0 0 2 (66.7%)
41-50 3 0 0 0 2 (66.7%)
51-60 1 0 0 0 1 (100%)
Total 18 1 (5.6%) 3 2 (11.1%) 8 (44.4%)

*Starter criteria determined as an average of 50 or more starts, over at least 40 percent of the player’s career.

The following is the league average over the same tiers:

Tier All-Star Starter Not in NBA
1-5 12 (24%) 30 (60%) 3 (6%)
6-10 8 (16%) 30 (60%) 7 (14%)
11-15 2 (4%) 12 (24%) 8 (16%)
16-20 3 (6%) 10 (20%) 8 (16%)
21-25 2 (4%) 8 (16%) 15 (30%)
26-30 1 (2%) 5 (10%) 20 (40%)
31-40 1 (2%) 11 (11%) 52 (52%)
41-50 2 (2%) 8 (8%) 70 (70%)
51-60 1 (1%) 1 (1%) 87 (87%)
Total 32 (5.3%) 115 (19.7%) 270 (45.0%)

Over the last 10 drafts, the Wizards have found just two regular starters in Wall and Bradley Beal.

Note that players are included with the team through any draft-day trades.  Some teams pick well but let an eventual starter leave for another, but that’s beyond the scope of this article.  Recently drafted players have yet to officially pass the “at least five years” test, but were considered as such if on a team’s roster by the end of the 2015-16 season.

Additionally, recent picks who have yet to join the NBA may still do so, but for this analysis are considered “out.”ot;out.”

Pick History 2006-2015

All-Stars: John Wall (2010-1) — three appearances

Starters: Wall, Bradley Beal (2012-3)

Rotation Players: Nick Young (2007-16), Dominic McGuire (2007-47), JaVale McGee (2008-18), Kevin Seraphin (2010-17), Trevor Booker (2010-23), Shelvin Mack (2011-34), Otto Porter (2013-3), Kelly Oubre (2015-15)

Out in Five Years or Less: Oleksiy Pecherov (2006-18), Vladimir Veremeenko (2006-48), Hamady N’Diaye (2010-56), Jan Vesely (2011-6), Chris Singleton (2011-18), Tomas Satoransky (2012-32), Glen Rice Jr. (2013-35), Aaron White (2015-49)

Author photo
Jeff Hawkins
Sports Editor

Jeff Hawkins is an award-winning sportswriter with more than four decades in the industry (print and digital media). A freelance writer/stay-at-home dad since 2008, Hawkins started his career with newspaper stints in Michigan, North Carolina, Florida, Upstate New York and Illinois, where he earned the 2004 APSE first-place award for column writing (under 40,000 circulation). As a beat writer, he covered NASCAR Winston Cup events at NHIS (1999-2003), the NHL's Chicago Blackhawks (2003-06) and the NFL's Carolina Panthers (2011-12). Hawkins penned four youth sports books, including a Michael Jordan biography. Hawkins' main hobbies include mountain bike riding, 5k trail runs at the Whitewater Center in Charlotte, N.C., and live music.

All posts by Jeff Hawkins
Author photo
Jeff Hawkins Sports Editor

Jeff Hawkins is an award-winning sportswriter with more than four decades in the industry (print and digital media). A freelance writer/stay-at-home dad since 2008, Hawkins started his career with newspaper stints in Michigan, North Carolina, Florida, Upstate New York and Illinois, where he earned the 2004 APSE first-place award for column writing (under 40,000 circulation). As a beat writer, he covered NASCAR Winston Cup events at NHIS (1999-2003), the NHL's Chicago Blackhawks (2003-06) and the NFL's Carolina Panthers (2011-12). Hawkins penned four youth sports books, including a Michael Jordan biography. Hawkins' main hobbies include mountain bike riding, 5k trail runs at the Whitewater Center in Charlotte, N.C., and live music.

All posts by Jeff Hawkins