Over the past 10 NBA Drafts (2006-2015), the Miami HEAT made 14 selections without yielding an All-Star.
The following table details Miami’s track record by tiers, noting the number of All-Stars and starters selected, along with players who either never made the league or were out in five years or less:
Tier | Picks | All-Star | All-Star Appearances | Starter* | Not in NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11-15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16-20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21-25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26-30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31-40 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 (33.3%) | 1 (33.3%) |
41-50 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 (20%) | 3 (60%) |
51-60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 (100%) |
Total | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 (14.3%) | 5 (35.7%) |
*Starter criteria determined as an average of 50 or more starts, over at least 40 percent of the player’s career.
The following is the league average over the same tiers:
Tier | All-Star | Starter | Not in NBA |
---|---|---|---|
1-5 | 12 (24%) | 30 (60%) | 3 (6%) |
6-10 | 8 (16%) | 30 (60%) | 7 (14%) |
11-15 | 2 (4%) | 12 (24%) | 8 (16%) |
16-20 | 3 (6%) | 10 (20%) | 8 (16%) |
21-25 | 2 (4%) | 8 (16%) | 15 (30%) |
26-30 | 1 (2%) | 5 (10%) | 20 (40%) |
31-40 | 1 (2%) | 11 (11%) | 52 (52%) |
41-50 | 2 (2%) | 8 (8%) | 70 (70%) |
51-60 | 1 (1%) | 1 (1%) | 87 (87%) |
Total | 32 (5.3%) | 115 (19.7%) | 270 (45.0%) |
Miami has not built through the draft over the past 10 years. Their best opportunity was the second pick in 2008, but they chose Michael Beasley over Russell Westbrook (among others).
Note that players are included with the team through any draft-day trades. Some teams pick well but let an eventual starter leave for another, but that’s beyond the scope of this article. Recently drafted players have yet to officially pass the “at least five years” test, but were considered as such if on a team’s roster by the end of the 2015-16 season.
Additionally, recent picks who have yet to join the NBA may still do so, but for this analysis are considered “out.”
Pick History 2006-2015
All-Stars: None
Starters: Mario Chalmers (2008-34), Patrick Beverley (2009-42)
Rotation Players: Daequan Cook (2007-21), Michael Beasley (2008-2), Norris Cole (2011-28), James Ennis (2013-50), Shabazz Napier (2014-24), Justise Winslow (2015-10), Josh Richardson (2015-40)
Out in Five Years or Less: Robert Dozier (2009-60), Dexter Pittman (2010-32), Jarvis Varnado (2010-41), Da’Sean Butler (2010-42), Justin Hamilton (2012-45)